2015 Report details for project: Lightning II Programme

Project name: Lightning II Programme - there are 7 reports for this project: 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019
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Organisation: MOD (D17) - see all reports for this organisation
Report year: 2015 (data is from Sept 2014)
Category: Military - see all reports for this category
Description: The intent of the Lightning II Programme is to deliver a deployable capability using the Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) - termed Lightning II (LII) in the UK - by 31 Dec 2018 and to contribute to the UK’s Carrier Strike capability from 2020. Lightning will contribute to the Responsive and Adaptive Force, providing 25% of UK Combat Air Force Elements at Readiness (FE@R) from 2023. SDSR 2015 will determine the final buy profile for LII.
DCA (RAG): Amber
DCA text: At 2014/15 Q2 it was assessed that that the programme was taut but that Initial Operating Capability (IOC) was achievable on time and to cost. Challenges within the Equipment, Infrastructure and Logistics Defence Lines Of Development DLOD, were the main drivers leading to the overall delivery confidence assessment. The Equipment DLOD had two main issues. The first was the inability to reach a decision on a solution to airframe fatigue, leading to contract delay but not yet causing programme slip. The second factor was a possible projected delay to the production of "Block 3F" standard software, which is critical to IOC. Since Q2 a solution to the fatigue problem has been identified and agreed, and the likely slip to the software release will not affect IOC. Progress in the Infrastructure DLOD was noted as being slow, however the SRO reported that an adequate scale of infrastructure would be available to enable IOC. Progress has now been made on gaining planning approval for the build, with Permitted Development being approved. The logistics DLOD report was occasioned by the lack of maturity of the through life sustainment plan for the Air System. Since Q2 the Lightning II Sustainment Strategy has been developed. This document lays out clearly what the sustainment strategy is through life and work is progressing through 2015 to better understand sustainment costs and to contract for the initial sustainment contract for RAF Marham. At the programme level the lack of appropriately resourced Programme Management Office was identified as being a Programme Risk, as was the lack of resource available to the DLODs themselves. This contributed to the overall Q2 Delivery Confidence. Wider Air command work is looking at both the provision of Portfolio Management Office (PMO) and resource to the DLODs.
Start date: 2001-10-01
End date: 2035-03-31
Schedule text: The Programme remains on track to deliver the UK IOC in December 2018 and subsequently IOC (Maritime) and FOC. The UK's first Lightning II Squadron is in place at Edwards Air Force Base in California and has taken delivery of its first aircraft. Some risk to the schedule remains as the Air System is still in the System Design and Development phase. Work since 2014/15 Q2 within the programme has identified a more suitable end date of 2026 by which time FOC and the current weapon programme will have been delivered.
Baseline: £306.68m
Forecast: £290.40m
Variance: -5.30%
Variance text: Budget variance less than 5%
Whole Life Cost: £13,203.23m
WLCost text: The forecast whole life cost estimates represent the estimated position at the end of the previous Annual Budgeting Cycle and includes all costs relating to procurement, equipment support and sustainment (excluding overhead costs such as manpower and fuel), and basing for the Lightning capability. There has been technical adjustment to the way costs are reported, resulting in an apparent reduction in costs since Q2 2013/14. Budgeted Whole Life Costs are now reported out to the end of manufacture rather than up to the out of service date. It should be noted that planned expenditure is continually subject to review as the cost model matures through the System Development and Demonstration phase of the US Joint Strike Force (JSF) Programme.
Sourcefile: IPA_2015.csv

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